HOPE FOR OUR BATTERED PRESIDENT

There is no disrespect intended in the title.  No one can deny he is being battered.  This is about why there is hope for our president.  But, true hope is anchored in truth.  There’ll be no Pollyanna pep rally here.  It looks bad, real bad. We begin by facing facts:

-We know that Obama and Hillary loyalists—deeply embedded in Washington—are working feverishly to destroy president Trump.  They are using their dark arts, not just on him, but on you.

-We know that a soulless media has discarded all pretense of objectivity.  They are minions of a mindless coup.  They are no longer capable of even thinking a decent thought toward Trump.

-We know that Trump is struggling to drain the swamp because some Republican Congressmen have stuck a hose back in it, recycling the swamp water.

-We know that Trump make-believers who once supported him abandoned ship at the first sign of trouble.

-We know that the forces behind Mueller and Comey will witch hunt Trump for concocted crimes and refuse to try Hillary for actual crimes.

-We also know that during this overthrow of freedom much of the Church naps under the influence of melatonin ministers.

And yet there is great hope for our president.  I am shouting this question in your ear: HAVE WE FORGOTTEN THAT POWERFUL FRIEND?

Once before evil rose, with its bloody talons on the throat of America, and relief came from an unexpected source: This plea from Benjamin Franklin:

In the beginning of the contest with Great Britain, when we were sensible of danger, we had daily prayers in this room for divine protection. Our prayers, sir, were heard; and they were graciously answered. All of us who were engaged in this struggle must have observed frequent instances of a superintending Providence in our favor. To that kind Providence we owe this happy opportunity of consulting in peace on the means of establishing our future national felicity. And have we now forgotten that powerful Friend?

Here is our powerful friend: Prayer, real prayer, sincere prayer, fervent prayer, unceasing prayer.  Prayer will expose the lies.  Prayer will defeat the traps laid before Trump.  Prayer will shut the mouth of the lion, topple the Washington walls of Jericho, split the Red Sea of fake news, and raise the Lazarus church from the dead.

Our powerful friend is waiting to bring unimaginable help and shocking breakthroughs.

Can I reintroduce you to our powerful friend?  Consider these points:

1. Even if you are the only one praying, it can change everything.  “Confess your trespasses to one another, and pray for one another, that you may be healed. The effective, fervent prayer of a righteous man avails much.”  James 5:16

When Israel languished in Babylon under the lash of Nebuchadnezzar only Daniel engaged that powerful friend.  He set himself to pray and fast.  His prayer, his solitary prayer, moved Cyrus to fulfill the prophecy of Jeremiah and release the Jews after 70 years of slavery.

The angel told Daniel it was his prayer that did it.  Daniel 10:12 “Then he said to me, “Do not fear, Daniel, for from the first day that you set your heart to understand, and to humble yourself before your God, your words were heard; and I have come because of your words.”

In the New Testament, one man’s prayer brought the Holy Spirit to the gentiles.  Acts 10: 1 “There was a certain man in Caesarea called Cornelius, a centurion of what was called the Italian Regiment, 2 a devout man and one who feared God with all his household, who gave alms generously to the people, and prayed to God always. 3 About the ninth hour of the day he saw clearly in a vision an angel of God coming in and saying to him, ‘Cornelius!’ 4 And when he observed him, he was afraid, and said, ‘What is it, lord?’ So he said to him, ‘Your prayers and your alms have come up for a memorial before God.'”

2. Even if you do not know how to ask, the Holy Spirit will pray through you.  Romans 8: 26, “Likewise the Spirit also helps in our weaknesses. For we do not know what we should pray for as we ought, but the Spirit Himself makes intercession for us with groanings which cannot be uttered.”

Think of that!  We don’t know how to pray for this national disaster, but the Holy Spirit does.  Our prayer language carries untold power to interrupt, and alter the affairs of man.  He, the Holy Spirit carries all power and wisdom.  He possesses the precision of prayer that totally escapes us.  He will commandeer our requests to the very throne of God.

3. My final point is the most powerful and encouraging: God told us to pray for our leaders.  1 Timothy 2: 1 “Therefore I exhort first of all that supplications, prayers, intercessions, and giving of thanks be made for all men, 2 for kings and all who are in authority, that we may lead a quiet and peaceable life in all godliness and reverence. 3 For this is good and acceptable in the sight of God our Savior.”

Why would we expend energy on worry when we can pray?  Why would we sit paralyzed watching the news instead of utilizing prayer to make news?  You, by yourself, have the power to ask and receive, why would you delay praying?  God told us that He is pleased when we pray for our leaders.  Isn’t that the most powerful motivation of all.  Remember our powerful friend.

LEGACY? WHAT LEGACY?

No president has written a farewell speech that focused entirely on their legacy.  Nothing says colossal failure more than this…

 

Legacy? What Legacy?

By Mario Murillo

At this moment, Obama is drafting his legacy for a farewell speech in Chicago on January 10th.  No president has written a farewell speech that focused entirely on their legacy. Nothing says colossal failure more than this.

The greatest travesty is to say he has a legacy.  For our own sanity as a nation we dare not confuse lunacy and legacy.  You cannot find—with an electron microscope—anything Obama improved after 8 years of holding all the cards.

We must have an autopsy on his presidency or we are doomed to repeat this towering mistake again.

His impending— “I don’t care what anybody says, I did a good job”—tirade in Chicago will be a cringe-worthy act of self- delusion. Far from exalting him, it will cement his status as worst President ever.

How badly did he govern?  Consider what he had going for him: He was swaddled in the thickest layers of spin ever accorded an American President.  Look who protected him!  He had the media in his corner—mainstream journalists outdid each other to lie for him.

He had Hollywood in his pocket—movie stars sacrificed at his altar. Social media giants Facebook, Twitter, Google unambiguously propagandized and censored.  Universities taught Obamanetics.

We have had eight years of the most meticulously choreographed suspension of reality that America has ever seen.

Alas, as a testament to his ginormous ineptitude, even this flotilla of revisionism and spin could not keep the bodies from floating to the surface.

At this hour, a pathetic string of panic moves confirms the impending horror.   His remaining toadies work to discredit Donald Trump.  No outgoing president has ever tried to discredit the incoming president even before they took office. Obama blurts out how he would have beaten Trump.  He has become Norma Desmond descending the staircase in the final scene of Sunset Boulevard.

hillary-and-obama-pic-575x380

Let’s take one final look at what he did to us.

  1. He paralyzed the economy: The expansion that began in June 2009 has been the weakest since World War II, with real gross domestic product growth averaging 2.1%. At 7 1/2 years and counting, it is also among the longest on record. 98 million Americans are out of the workforce. Millions more live below the poverty level.

He strangled small business with regulations.  He fought harder to put men in women’s restrooms than he did to put money in your pocket.

The greatest testament to his failure in the economy was the immediate reaction of the Stock Market and business when Donald Trump won.  Economic pundit Caroline Baum said, “New signs of optimism emerged immediately following Trump’s Nov. 8 election. The stock market has been positively buoyant while consumer, business and home-builder confidence have all soared. Surveys suggest businesses are planning to increase capital spending.  That sense of optimism will need to be ratified by results, but the message to Obama is unmistakable: Don’t let the door hit you on the way out.”

  1. He nearly destroyed the Democratic Party. “In the eight years since he was first elected, Democrats have lost more than 1,000 seats at the state and national level. Republicans now control 4,170 state legislative seats compared with 3,129 for the Democrats, an all-time low.

Republicans now hold 33 governorships and will have full control — governorship and both houses of the state legislature — in 25 states compared with five for the Democrats.

Democrats lost 12 governorships, 13 Senate seats and 69 seats in the House of Representatives during Obama’s two terms, highlighting “a devastation up and down the party across the nation,” -The Hill.

  1. He looked like a clown to our enemies. Obama claims he told Russian President Vladimir Putin in China in September, to “cut it out” in terms of the hacking. Putin’s reaction embodies the world’s view of Obama.  Putin thought it was a joke.

Mr. President, at first, the world saw you as a promise.  Then they were amused.  Now they are dazed and confused by you.   Your eight years of leading from behind and issuing empty threats stripped America of moral authority and turned our foreign policy into sputtering wreckage.

Again, Caroline Baum said, “The wars Obama inherited are still going on. The Taliban has made a comeback in Afghanistan. Syria is in shambles. And Secretary of State John Kerry has been so ineffective that no one even bothered to invite him to the Syrian cease-fire negotiations among Russia, Turkey and Iran.

2CD6C41400000578-0-image-m-67_1443398624879

  1. He stabbed Israel in the back. Obama overruled 36 years of U.S. policy by abandoning its ally Israel and allowing the passage of U.N. Security Council Resolution 2234, declaring Israeli settlements, including the Western Wall and Temple Mount in East Jerusalem, illegal. He did it out of hatred for Israel.
  2. He made race relations worse. He stood in front of the Greek columns in Denver and promised to make race relations better. 56% say he made them worse.

Before he had the facts, Obama accused Cambridge, Mass., police officers of acting “stupidly” when they arrested Henry Louis Gates Jr. in his own home in 2009. The police were responding to a report of a potential burglary, which turned out to be Gates trying to pry open his front door.

Blacks and Whites took sides and the racial divide began.  On his watch cops were killed out of racial hatred.  Rioting, looting and burning down businesses were justified to protest.  Obama offered only mild rebukes.  He led the Democratic Party down the destructive path of race baiting.

Obama has promoted the idea of a police force biased against blacks. He vehemently denied FBI Director James Comey’s explanation for the surge in violent crime and homicide rates last year as a result of the “Ferguson effect,” with law-enforcement officers pulling back from proactive policing following the 2014 fatal shooting of Michael Brown in Ferguson, Mo.

Obama says police are out to target blacks but totally ignores black on black violence.   Chicago, Obama’s hometown, witnessed 762 homicides last year, the most in two decades, and 1,100 more shootings than in 2015.   Obama refuses to accept the fact that police are three times less likely to shoot unarmed black suspects than white ones.

<> on November 24, 2015 in Washington, DC.

  1. Obama will not say Radical Islamic Terrorism no matter what. Once more let me quote Caroline Baum: “Obama has spent eight years deftly avoiding using those three words to call an act what it is. He has intellectualized his position by claiming the phrase “equates Islam with terrorism,” which is counterproductive to U.S. counterterrorism efforts.

Instead, Obama prefers terms such as “workplace violence,” even if the terrorists in question pay homage to Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, leader of the Islamic State. A terrorist act provides an opportunity for the president to lecture the nation on the need for stricter gun-control laws.

Calling something what it is may not solve the problem, but avoiding it makes Obama look silly.”

Some of you may wonder why I have skipped other scandals like Benghazi, Solyndra, Fast and Furious and illegals who killed American.  Frankly, there is no room here for all his failings.

Legacy? What legacy?  Pilate wondered about Jesus’ mission and legacy.  He asked Jesus about it.  Jesus said, “ask those who saw my works and heard my teaching.”

Hardly anyone is left who can—with a straight face and a strong stomach—say something about Obama’s words, acts and legacy.  Obama is left to do it himself.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

On May 7th Mario Murillo predicted the #1 reason Trump would win

 

On May 7th, Mario Murillo predicted the top reason Trump would win.   The same reason that helped him win is also helping him get stronger right now.  Read more…

If you want him to win keep insulting his supporters

By Mario Murillo

May 7th, 2016

Donald Trump, president and chief executive of Trump Organization Inc. and 2016 Republican presidential candidate, stands for a photograph after a Bloomberg Television interview at his campaign headquarters in Trump Tower in New York, U.S., on Thursday, Oct. 15, 2015. According to Trump, Janet Yellen's decision to delay hiking interest rates is motivated by politics. Photographer: John Taggart/Bloomberg via Getty Images *** Local Capton *** Donald Trump

The fast track to getting Donald Trump in the White House is to insult his supporters.   Keep calling them names…it works every time.  David Masciotra of Salon news wrote a piece entitled We must shame dumb Trump fans.   He said, “The white working class are not victims.  It’s not smug liberalism to point out Trump backers are low-educated. What’s dangerous is to sympathize with them.”

After this came out Trump’s numbers went up.

At a rally for GOP presidential candidate Ted Cruz in Utah, Glenn Beck chastised Southern Evangelical Christians for not supporting Cruz. “All throughout the South the Evangelicals are not listening to their God,” he said.  And what was the impact of a Mormon telling evangelicals who back Trump that they are disobeying Christ?

After this Trump’s numbers went up.

protestors

George Will addressed the Trump supporters directly: These are voters the Republicans want, the Republicans want all voters, and particularly these voters, but to say that he’s tapped into something;… {shaking head} … Henry Wallace tapped into something, with the far left of American Politics in the late 40’s; the John Birch society tapped into something, George Wallace tapped into something, and it was up to the grown-ups in the labor movement in the late 1940’s, and the grown-ups in the conservative movement in the 1960’s to read those elements the riot act, and say: come back in, but come back in on our terms because we are not going down the road you want to go”…In other words, Trump supporters are misbehaving children who—upon being properly punished by the “grown-ups” –can come back to the Republican party on ‘our terms.”

After this Trump’s numbers went up.

Vincente Fox, former president of Mexico disparaged Trump supporters as lazy, uneducated, TV watching drunks.

Well, you know what happened then.   The same thing that happens when you say Trump followers are racist, women haters, and xenophobic.   Spouting epithets without facts wins him votes.  As Mark Twain said, “facts are stubborn things.”

Attack him on his policies.  Arm yourself with facts so you don’t end up in the ash heap with those who say he said something he never said.

Trump supporters are smarter than we think.   They know why they are for him.  Do your homework so you can say definitely why you are against him.  Don’t say he is racist, homophobic, sexist unless you can back it up.   Otherwise, you are going to help elect him.

What matters: What Hillary has done. Not what Donald has said

What matters: What Hillary has done. Not what Donald has said

By Mario Murillo

In an act of breathtaking hypocrisy, a very famous pastor and author from Texas explained why he opposes Trump: “If Obama had shown the same rudeness Donald Trump is showing I would have opposed him too.”

Here is his logic: Benghazi was the intentional loss of life but at least Obama and Hillary were not rude.  When they knowingly lied to the families of those that were killed—blaming the attack on a video to protect a reelection campaign—it was okay because they were polite.

Obama’s tone of voice was calm whenever he insulted the Bible and exalted the Koran.  His demeanor in ramming Obamacare, gay marriage and flooding our borders with people who would harm us was done courteously.

So, even though he is a pastor with a large following, he admits he did not fight to stop Obama in 2012.  He told his people, at that time, “I am staying out of politics.”  He remained silent as our morals were dismantled—our safety was compromised—our economy was trashed.

NOW HE DECIDES TO SPEAK UP—NOT AS A VOICE AGAINST ABORTION, IMMORALITY AND TERRORISM—BUT AS MISS MANNERS?!

Political correctness bends the brain in unusual ways.  But it is most bizarre when it twists the logic of an otherwise respected man of God.  No wonder the Bible says, “A righteous man who falters before the wicked is like a murky spring and a polluted well.” -Proverbs 25: 26

This blog is about a fat lie that is overruling common sense.  You hear it all of the time: “look at what Donald Trump said.”  This is a patently insane and false moral equivalence.   Here are examples:

  1. Trump not letting us see his tax forms makes him worse than Hillary.

Hillary erased 33,000 emails!   Putting these emails on a private server broke federal law and jeopardized national security.   She put all of us—you, me, and our children in danger!  How can anything on Trump’s tax forms compare to that?

Okay, one more time: 33,000 emails versus one tax form.  Top secret information that our enemies can use against us sat on a server that could be—and most likely was hacked by our enemies.

She covered her crime by erasing them even after she was ordered by Congress to protect them and turn them over.

Trump legally used tax laws—she deliberately violated federal law.

  1. Trump has called women names. He is worse for women.

Look at what she has done to women.  She took of millions of dollars from nations that treat women like indentured slaves and execute women for misdemeanors.

She tried to destroy women who were raped by her husband.

Can you think of a more horrendous role model for young girls than Hillary Clinton? Her message is: lie, cheat and discredit.  Stand by your man—not out of virtue—but to protect your ambitions.

  1. Trump has had bankruptcies that left contractors unpaid.

Hillary has been in a scandal or has bungled every single political project she has ever touched…no hyperbole here, just fact.   In 30+ years of politics, she has never created a single job or improved the situation.

Meanwhile: Trump took a one-million-dollar inheritance and built a company worth several billion employing thousands.  And he did in the most viciously competitive market on earth: New York City.

Nothing shows this demented form of false equivalency better that something Tim Kaine said in the debate against Mike Pence.  He spouted this: “The Clinton Foundation has a higher rating than the Red Cross.”   I am sure the victims of Hurricane Matthew in Haiti can’t wait for the Clinton Foundation to show up.

  1. Trump doesn’t have the temperament to be allowed to have the nuclear codes.   Temperament?  Let’s talk about temperament: Hillary once asked in a political ad, “who do you want answering that phone call at 3 AM?”   Well we already know…she got the 3 AM call from Americans begging for their lives in Benghazi.  Hillary—in order to protect her career—has cost people their lives…and maybe even worse.

In 1975, Hillary the attorney defended a man accused of raping a 12-year-old girl.  After she got him off.  Later,  she was caught on audio tape laughing about that little girl.   That rape victim now speaks out:

“It’s put a lot of anger back in me … Every time I see [Clinton] on TV I just want to reach in there and grab her, but I can’t do that,” 54-year-old Kathy Shelton told The Daily Mail, as Clinton tries to portray herself as a supporter of women and girls during the 2016 campaign.

“I don’t think [she’s] for women or girls. I think she’s lying, I think she said anything she can to get in the campaign and win … If she was [an advocate for women and children], she wouldn’t have done that to me at 12 years old,” said Shelton.

I heard you on tape laughing …. I just want to know, you’ve got a daughter and a grandbaby. What happens if that daughter of yours, if that would have been her [who was assaulted at age 12]?

You would have protected her. You don’t know me, so I’m a piece of crap to you … Who cares about me, as long as you can win your first case as an attorney?”  Her temperament has never changed…it has just gotten more sophisticated… is this the temperament we want with nuclear codes?

Pastor Stephen Jeffers from Dallas First Baptist Church has called this election a choice between Good and Evil.   I agree.  When you vote on November 8th you should think about what Hillary Clinton has done and not what Donald Trump has said.

Why Liberals want to ban anyone who disagrees with them

 

If you’re a conservative, you don’t need to silence the opposition. In fact, we conservatives want liberals to talk, to make buffoons of themselves, to prove their folly. We want liberals to expound upon their ridiculous ideas, to show the world exactly what they’re about. Nancy Pelosi? Give that tiresome woman a microphone. Chatty liberals are the best advertisement for conservatism.

Failing Liberals Turn To Oppression To Hold On To Power

Kurt Schlichter

But liberals just can’t have conservatives speaking. We’ll tell the truth, and that’s why liberals need to shut us up.

Their traditional intimidation tactics are wearing out. Calling someone a “racist” used to be a devastating moral indictment. Liberals’ promiscuous employment of the word first turned it into a cliché and then into an ironic punchline.

I know, saying that out loud is racist. And sexist. And cisgender heteronormative, whatever the h— that means.

So now liberals have stepped up to formal governmental repression. Take the IRS scandal – or ex-scandal, in the eyes of the mainstream media. The Obama administration, at the urging of red state Democrat senators who are about to lose their seats because of their track records of failure, are doing everything they can to turn the taxman loose on the organizations that are pointing out their track records of failure.

Sure, the liberals come up with excuses, with justifications, with rationales for this prima facie oppression. But understand that the left was never against political repression. The left is only against being repressed itself.

It’s open season on everyone else. Don’t dare bow down to god whose name isn’t spelled “G – O – V – E – R – N – M – E – N – T.” Today’s heretic hunters work for Kathleen Sebelius, ready to burn you at the stake for expecting grown men and women to come up with the dough for their own contraceptives. No one expects the HHS Inquisition!

The Federal Communications Commission just floated a trial balloon about going out to radio and television stations to evaluate reporters on how they cover the news. There was a time when journalists’ response to a government inquiry into how they did their job would be “Go to h—, you goose-stepping bureaucratic flunky.”

Not anymore. Now, their response is slavish submission to their progressive governmental dominatrix. When supposedly independent, iconoclastic liberal journalists let themselves to be dominated by the feds, their safeword is “Hillary.”

Liberalism has to muzzle the truth because it operates on lies. It is built on lies, fueled by lies, and creates an empire of lies.

Look at the Obamacare scam. Liberals don’t even blink at the fact that its foundational premise that if you liked your health care, you could keep it was a lie. They’re not even offended by the lie. They’re offended that we point out that it was a lie.

Now the same people who got us into this mess are telling us we should go along and trust them to fix the same d— problem that they created in the first place. Liberals are the Lucys of American politics, holding the football and promising that this time it’ll be different. We need to stop being the Charlie Browns.

In the Senate, liberals toss traditions like the filibuster out the window for political expediency. The president creates his own laws or changes ones that are already in place on a whim. There are no norms, there are no standards. Everything is a short-term political gambit, and little things like the Constitution are just obstacles to progress.

How does all this end well? It doesn’t. It can’t. That is, unless the American people come to their senses and demand that the Constitution, as it is written, be respected. That change come through the political process, through persuasion rather than diktat.

But if that doesn’t happen, what then? What becomes of our system? How do we act when we take power again? Should we also ignore those same principles that we seek to reaffirm in order to reaffirm them?

Does the next Republican president simply announce that he’s repealing Obamacare by executive order? Does he simply refuse to implement other laws we dislike? Does he refuse to collect foolish taxes? Does he use his prosecutorial discretion to decide to refuse to prosecute his allies? Is that what we want?

No, it is not what we want, but it may be what we get. We are not ones for unilateral disarmament. Our constitutional system is not a suicide pact, as many have observed. The liberals aren’t going to like it when we apply the same ruthlessness to them.

If the rules of the game are now that there are no rules, then the only political currency is raw power. But we know what happens when there are no rules, where pure power is the sole measure of right and wrong. I served in countries like that. They are full of mass graves

The American system’s strength is not that everyone always wins. It is that the system cultivates our ability to lose gracefully, to understand that you were heard, that you had your say, that there was a process, and that you lost fair and square. It sustains itself by reinforcing its own legitimacy.

But if your losses aren’t fair, if you haven’t been heard, if the rules have been bent or broken or ignored, that crucial legitimacy is gone.  And then there are no rules to respect.

What keeps this grand experiment in freedom going is that we honored, at least until now, our Constitution’s boundaries. Sure, we pushed at the edges, nudged the envelope, sometimes fudged the line, but what is happening now is different. What’s happening now is that the line is being erased.

Mario Murillo Ministries: Stopping the Nation Killing Machine

Stopping the Nation Killing Machine

By Mario Murillo

Hollywood, pop singers, sports figures, politicians, tech giants like Google, Apple and Amazon along with countless college professors are turning our children’s minds into a nation-killing machine.

This coalition has untold billions of dollars at their disposal.  They control the airwaves—and through Obama and Clinton, the FBI and the IRS.  They can rig elections.

Months ago this would have sounded like a tinfoil cone conspiracy—not anymore.

Now let’s talk about what God is doing.

As a kid, I liked monster movies.  (We are indeed in a monster movie right now.)  Those of you old enough to remember the black and white monster movies featured giant insects, aliens and people.  The culprit was almost always the A-Bomb tests.

There were two elements in those movies: 1. A dark moment of hopelessness when all weapons failed.  2. A controversial scientist who worked out of a barn.

The military reluctantly had to use the weapon from the barn…the monster was defeated.

I freely admit that Mario Murillo Ministries is that scientist working out of the barn.  When this beast of political correctness first oozed out of the swamp, we started warning the church.  

We declared that signs and wonders and the conviction of the Holy Spirit are the only weapons for a brain-washed generation.

We declared that we needed to stop fearing politicians and call them out.

We said young minds needed to hear why the teaching of Jesus is divine and they needed to hear the truth about American history.

Then the name-calling and ridicule began.  We were told it would never work.  We were roundly criticized and rejected.  None of this stopped us from finishing our divine training under the Holy Spirit.

Then came the summer of 2016.  The weapon came out of the barn and leaders began to see how it is exactly what is needed.  october-4

The images you see in this blog are snapshots of outreach this summer.  It was a summer of supernatural transformations and no compromise.

Leaders see how the make nice gospel is only making things worse.  Influential pastors are breaking with tradition and joining us on the frontline.  Most of all…there is a growing recognition that this weapon can kill the monster.

In an added piece of exciting news…phase one of our World Headquarters is now complete.  We have secured…and paid cash for a suite of offices in Sparks, Nevada.  The name of our offices is The War Room.  This is our new “barn” and brain center for the next phase of our national invasion to bring Living Proof to the youth of America.

october-5

An expert explains why Trump will win

ELECTORAL COLLEGE MATH, AND WHY I THINK TRUMP WILL WIN

As Donald Trump has caught up with Hillary Clinton in the polls, he has likewise closed the gap in the electoral college. Ipsos/Reuters says the race to 270 votes is now nearly tied. Many are focusing on Maine, which allocates its electoral college votes by Congressional district, and where one district going for Trump might change the result.

A reader who has been studying the numbers sends a link to 538 (“Democrats Should Panic … If The Polls Still Look Like This In A Week”) and adds:

I presume Trump wins Nevada. Adjusting for that, if this is accurate Trump loses 265 – 273. So he needs New Hampshire desperately to tie, and then win in the House…or NH plus Maine’s 2nd Congressional District for a bare win 270 – 268, second closest in history.

That could be right. But I think more likely, Trump will win rather easily, and win going away as he did the Republican primaries. I expect him to carry states like Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Michigan, maybe even Pennsylvania. Why? Two reasons.

The first can be explained with an old story from the world of marketing:

A company came out with a new dog food, and hired an advertising firm to promote the product. The ad agency placed commercials on television and ads in magazines; millions of dollars went into the campaign. The commercials and ads were first-rate, but still the dog food did not sell. The client called a meeting at the ad agency and demanded to know what had gone wrong.

After a moment of silence, the leader of the ad agency team explained: “The dogs don’t like it.”

Hillary Clinton can be re-launched, re-packaged, and protected by a phalanx of reporters. The liberal establishment can do its best to jam her down our throats. But we–the voters–don’t like her. And the more we see of her, the more our dislike is confirmed. She is too weak a candidate to be elected president.

Second, everyone knows that the press is trying to elect Hillary, and most Americans resent it. Every day, editors and reporters try to inflict an anti-Trump theme on the rest of us. Today’s hysteria revolves around Trump’s comments on Hillary’s hypocrisy regarding gun control:

She goes around with armed bodyguards like you have never seen before. I think that her bodyguards should drop all weapons. They should disarm. Right? Right? I think they should disarm immediately. What do you think? Yes? Yes. Yeah. Take their guns away. She doesn’t want guns. … Let’s see what happens to her. Take their guns away, okay? It would be very dangerous.

Trump obviously was making the point that he and countless others have made many times before: liberals like Hillary Clinton, who are protected 24/7 by armed guards, are deeply hypocritical when they try to disarm millions of Americans who don’t have taxpayer-funded protection and rely on their own firearms for self-defense. The point is a powerful one, which is why liberal reporters don’t want to acknowledge it. Instead, they absurdly pretend that Trump was hinting that Hillary should be assassinated.

This kind of thing fools no one. Millions of Americans are quietly fuming over the press’s overreach, going over the top, day after day, to defeat Donald Trump. The blowback is building, and will continue building until election day.

At one point, when I was opposing Trump during the GOP primaries, I said to the press: Stop attacking Trump! Liberal reporters often began with a valid point, but their hysterical hatred for Trump caused them to go too far, making arguments that were patently unfair and unsustainable. Therefore, the more they attacked Trump the more his support grew. The same thing is happening now: most Americans have a pretty good sense of fair play, and they know that Trump is being treated badly by the establishment–a group for whom most Americans have no great affection.

Much more could be said, and will be between now and November 8. But let’s leave it there for now. Like most observers, I have usually been wrong this year, so there is no reason why anyone should pay much attention. But, for what it is worth, I don’t think this year’s election will turn out to be a nail-biter. Nor will it be a landslide, but I do expect a relatively easy win for Donald Trump in both the popular vote and the electoral college.

Could Trump screw it up by making a horrible blunder? Of course. But I think there is a greater chance of disaster coming from the Clinton campaign.